Celia gaertig, Ph.D.

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Celia Gaertig is an Assistant Professor of Marketing at the Haas School of Business at the University of California, Berkeley. She is a behavioral marketing researcher with research interests in how uncertainty shapes the way consumers think , decide, and act. 

Her research challenges common assumptions about uncertainty in communication and persuasion. For example, contrary to the conventional wisdom that advisors need to offer certainty to be persuasive, her research shows that uncertainty is not always penalized - and can sometimes increase credibility or influence.

She also studies how people incorporate information in their decisions under uncertainty and uncovers strategies that reduce bias. This includes her research on advice taking, anchoring, and the wisdom of the inner crowd. 

At Berkeley Haas, Celia teaches courses on Decision Making to both MBAs and undergraduate students. 
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Her publications are listed below and her CV is available here.
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Publications​ (updated April 2025):

Gaertig, C., & Simmons, J. (forthcoming). Why (and When) Are Uncertain Price Promotions More Effective Than Equivalent Sure Discounts? Journal of Consumer Research.
  • [SSRN][DOI][ResearchBox]

Hu, B., Gaertig, C., & Dietvorst, B. (forthcoming). How Should Time Estimates Be Structured To Increase Customer Satisfaction? Management Science. 
  • [SSRN][ResearchBox]

Mislavsky, R. & Gaertig, C. (2024). Premature Predictions: Accurate Forecasters Are Not Viewed As More Competent For Earlier Predictions. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 153(1), 159-170.
  • [PDF] [DOI] [ResearchBox]

Gaertig, C. & Simmons, J. (2023). Are People More Or Less Likely To Follow Advice That Is Accompanied By A Confidence Interval? Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 152(7), 2008-2025.
  • [PDF] [DOI] [ResearchBox]

Mislavsky, R. & Gaertig, C. (2022). Combining Probability Forecasts: 60% And 60% Is 60%, but Likely And Likely Is Very Likely. Management Science, 68(1), 541-563.
  • [PDF] [SSRN] [DOI] [ResearchBox]
  • Finalist, Decision Analysis Society Publication Award 2024
  • Finalist, Exeter Prize  2023
  • Runner Up, SJDM Hillel Einhorn New Investigator Award 2020

Gaertig, C., & Simmons, J. (2021). The Psychology of Second Guesses: Implications for the Wisdom of the Inner Crowd. Management Science, 67(9), 5921-6942.
  • [PDF] [SSRN] [DOI] [ResearchBox]

Kassirer, S., Levine, E., & Gaertig, C. (2020). Decisional Autonomy Undermines Advisees' Judgments of Experts In Medicine and In Life. PNAS, 117(2), 11368-11378.
  • [PDF] [SSRN] [DOI] [OSF]

Gaertig, C., Barasch, A., Levine, E., & Schweitzer, M. (2019). When Does Anger Boost Status? Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 85, 103876.
  • [PDF] [DOI] [OSF]

Lewis, J., Gaertig, C., & Simmons, J (2019). Extremeness Aversion Is a Cause of Anchoring. Psychological Science, 30(2), 159-173.
  • [PDF] [SSRN] [DOI] [OSF]

​Gaertig, C., & Simmons, J. (2018). Do People Inherently Dislike Uncertain Advice? Psychological Science, 29(4), 504-520.
  • [PDF] [SSRN] [DOI] [OSF]

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